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THE LONG GOODBYE
Why Christine Lagarde is likely heading for the ECB exit
Jul 24
•
Polymarket
19
3
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PLATNER MULTIVERSE
The hidden math inside every Polymarket contract
Jul 23
•
Polymarket
and
Werner K. Zagrebbi
32
2
8
The Hormuz Reopening Gap
The Brent-WTI spread has not caught up to Polymarket
Jul 16
•
Polymarket
and
Terry Lee
32
9
8
THE TOTENBERG EFFECT
How Polymarket traders reacted to NPR fake news
Jul 10
•
Polymarket
and
Werner K. Zagrebbi
29
1
5
Introducing Polymarket Institutional Research
Issue 1: Anthropic Right Tail Underpriced?
Jul 8
•
Polymarket
54
8
12
PILL MILL
The art & science of FDA drug forecasting
Jun 24
•
Polymarket
and
Akshay Kumar
30
2
6
GRAY ZONE
Traders see 1-in-6 odds of a NATO-Russia clash this year. But the real risk may lie in events that won’t trigger a YES resolution
Jun 12
•
Polymarket
and
Jonathan Masters
20
4
6
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PROPHET NOTES
Mike S.
Neil’s Substack
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Doomberg
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The official Ryan McBeth Substack
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Sinocism
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