Subscribe
Sign in
Home
Podcast
Notes
Archive
About
THE LONG GOODBYE
Why Christine Lagarde is likely heading for the ECB exit
Jul 24
•
Polymarket
19
3
Recent posts
View all
PLATNER MULTIVERSE
The hidden math inside every Polymarket contract
Jul 23
•
Polymarket
and
Werner K. Zagrebbi
32
2
8
The Hormuz Reopening Gap
The Brent-WTI spread has not caught up to Polymarket
Jul 16
•
Polymarket
and
Terry Lee
32
9
8
THE TOTENBERG EFFECT
How Polymarket traders reacted to NPR fake news
Jul 10
•
Polymarket
and
Werner K. Zagrebbi
29
1
5
Introducing Polymarket Institutional Research
Issue 1: Anthropic Right Tail Underpriced?
Jul 8
•
Polymarket
54
8
12
PILL MILL
The art & science of FDA drug forecasting
Jun 24
•
Polymarket
and
Akshay Kumar
30
2
6
GRAY ZONE
Traders see 1-in-6 odds of a NATO-Russia clash this year. But the real risk may lie in events that won’t trigger a YES resolution
Jun 12
•
Polymarket
and
Jonathan Masters
20
4
6
See all
Breaking news
The Oracle by Polymarket
Read this to become a better forecaster
Subscribe
Recommendations
View all 11
Neil’s Substack
Neil Paine
Doomberg
Doomberg
The Event Horizon
Dustin Gouker
Citrini Research
Citrini
Sinocism
Bill Bishop
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts