The Oracle by Polymarket

The Oracle by Polymarket

Home
Podcast
Notes
Archive
About
THE ARGENTINA MODEL
Hedge fund manager Chris DeMuth Jr. on why Latin America is going the way of Argentina PLUS eBay, SpaceX, and Warner Bros M&A update
Jun 5 • Polymarket and Will Ward

Recent posts

View all
THE MATH OF DEFEAT
Hedge fund manager on the inevitability of US defeat in Iran
May 29 • Polymarket and Will Ward
SLEEPING GIGANTE?
Are World Cup traders overlooking the defending champs? PLUS: The Norway paradox, bracket path dependency, and U.S. home cooking
May 28 • Neil Paine and Polymarket
BASS FISHING
Can a reality TV bad boy burn down the career of LA's mayor?
May 20 • Polymarket and Will Ward
ARMS RACE
Democratic operative on what the Supreme Court’s Callais ruling means for the midterms
May 1 • Polymarket and Will Ward
COPYCAT
Here are the 10 most copied Polymarket wallets
Apr 24 • Polymarket, Will Ward, and Stand.Trade
The NBA Playoffs Are a Different Sport
Adventures in hoops modeling, and why the market is sleeping on these four teams
Apr 18 • Polymarket and Neil Paine
Breaking news
The Oracle by Polymarket
The Oracle by Polymarket
Read this to become a better forecaster
Recommendations
View all 11
PROPHET NOTES
PROPHET NOTES
PROPHET
Event Horizon
Event Horizon
Dustin Gouker
Sinocism
Sinocism
Bill Bishop
Chris Best
Chris Best
Chris Best
Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Nuño Sempere
© 2026 Polymarket · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture