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A newsletter about the nascent prediction markets industry, including news, analysis and legal insights at Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt and beyond.

We identify and discuss the most important warning signs of global catastrophic risks for you by parsing millions of news pieces and discussing them with our elite forecasters.

Independent Investment & Economic Researcher. Stocks, bonds & more. U.S. and Switzerland focus. Differentiated reports, deep dives, trading ideas, charts. Risk management & hedging for an all weather portfolio. A Roger Federer fan ...

Analytical but narrative -- blending the past and future of sportswriting

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The best of what's new at Manifold Markets

Find prediction market strategies on Stand. Copy trading, news trading, and more!

Citrini Research provides insights on thematic equity investing and global macro trading—with cross-asset, lateral thinking. Our promise: you’ll never have to ask “what’s the trade?”

Co-founder and CEO of Substack

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