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ARMS RACE
Democratic operative on what the Supreme Court’s Callais ruling means for the midterms
May 1
•
Polymarket
and
Will Ward
20
3
5
April 2026
COPYCAT
Here are the 10 most copied Polymarket wallets
Apr 24
•
Polymarket
,
Will Ward
, and
Stand.Trade
45
9
3
The NBA Playoffs Are a Different Sport
Adventures in hoops modeling, and why the market is sleeping on these four teams
Apr 18
•
Polymarket
and
Neil Paine
28
2
3
PHANTOM TOLLBOOTH
Iran ceasefire is untenable and changes nothing: Energy trader
Apr 8
•
Polymarket
and
Will Ward
105
25
20
BANK ROLLED
Why the Houthis Aren’t closing the Bab al-Mandab…Yet
Apr 7
•
Polymarket
46
4
4
NEW: Polymarket Tools for Journalists
On March 2nd, New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman wrote this about the Iran war:
Apr 2
•
Polymarket
and
Dhruv Gupta
45
5
9
March 2026
FOG OF WAR: RememberAmalek's Guide to Decoding Iran War Propaganda
And how bad this could all get
Mar 27
•
Polymarket
and
Will Ward
65
3
6
🔮 TWEET QUANT
Can we model Elon Musk’s tweets?
Mar 19
•
Polymarket
and
Terry Lee
22
2
STALK THE OSCARS
Inside the wallets of Polymarket's sharpest awards show traders
Mar 15
•
Polymarket
and
Stand.Trade
15
1
🔮 Savage Oscars Picks
How to profit from elitism and bad taste
Mar 13
•
Polymarket
and
Jacob Savage
55
14
19
🔮 GEOPOLITICAL CONVEXITY
Jon Turek on frontrunning the ECB, the intersection of prediction markets and macro, and how the Iran war is already reshaping the Middle East
Mar 10
•
Polymarket
and
Will Ward
29
2
🔮 Doomberg: The Strait is Already Closed
The green chicken breaks down the energy implications of Iran's missile war, and where the next domino may drop
Mar 6
•
Polymarket
and
Will Ward
194
21
27
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