The Oracle by Polymarket

The Oracle by Polymarket

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CARRY UNWIND?
Is the biggest leveraged trade on earth about to reverse?
Aug 14 • Polymarket and Anton Wagner
OG
An interview with Robin Hanson, the intellectual godfather of modern prediction markets
Aug 14 • Polymarket and Werner K. Zagrebbi
FORCED SELLER
How Polymarket traders monitored the Situational Awareness situation
Aug 10 • Polymarket and Anaya Shintre
BIBI VALUE
Top Israeli political analyst: market underrating Netanyahu, Lieberman has a real shot, and here's what could bring Israel back into the Iran war
Aug 4 • Polymarket and Will Ward

July 2026

CLOSING TIME
Houthi insiders told me Bab el-Mandeb is next
Jul 31 • Polymarket
JETBLUE LEFT TAIL
Bond traders and Polymarket disagree on the airline’s fate
Jul 30 • Polymarket
THE LONG GOODBYE
Why Christine Lagarde is likely heading for the ECB exit
Jul 24 • Polymarket
PLATNER MULTIVERSE
The hidden math inside every Polymarket contract
Jul 23 • Polymarket and Werner K. Zagrebbi
The Hormuz Reopening Gap
The Brent-WTI spread has not caught up to Polymarket
Jul 16 • Polymarket and Terry Lee
THE TOTENBERG EFFECT
How Polymarket traders reacted to NPR fake news
Jul 10 • Polymarket and Werner K. Zagrebbi
Introducing Polymarket Institutional Research
Issue 1: Anthropic Right Tail Underpriced?
Jul 8 • Polymarket

June 2026

PILL MILL
The art & science of FDA drug forecasting
Jun 24 • Polymarket and Akshay Kumar
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