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Transcript

🔮 PODCAST: China Is Coming For Taiwan

Dmitri Alperovitch on predicting the Ukraine war and how to avoid the same fate in Taiwan

Dmitri Alperovitch is the founder of cybersecurity firm Crowdstrike, Chairman of geopolitical think tank Silverado Policy Accelerator, and the author of World on the Brink: How America Can Beat China in the Race for the Twenty-First Century.

In the forecasting community, Dmitri is legendary for his call of Russia's invasion of Ukraine two months before it happened.

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(04:30) How easy is it to hack Signal?

(10:00) Ukraine & Trump's transactional foreign policy

(26:00) How Dmitry Predicted the Russian invasion

(27:36) Ukraine Russia ceasefire predictions

(33:30) Will Trump pull out of NATO?

(32:50) Taiwan's strategic importance

(40:10) What happens if China gets Taiwan?

(43:01) Indicators of a possible Taiwan invasion

(48:30) The Taiwan blockade scenario

(53:20) Will Trump defend Taiwan?

(56:30) Does Deep Seek mean chip controls backfired?

(1:06:10) China, AI, and Biotech

(1:11:20) AI lab espionage

(1:15:00) Middle East and Israel-Saudi normalization?

(1:18:00) The Red Sea conflict

(1:19:02) North Korea deal pt. 2?

(1:24:42) Are Iran, China, Russia, and North Korea an "axis"?


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