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Joao's avatar

Very interesting read.

He seems very experienced with polymarket order-flow/micro struture and then adds the psyvhology of Trump/Powel to the point a martingale strategy makes rational sense

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A Z's avatar

So can Trump actually fire Powell or not? I was certain that he simply can't do that and I am a bit perplexed after reading this post. Perhaps it is the exact impression the trader intends to create with this piece.

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Mark b's avatar

It reads to me that he's risking $250k to make around $35k. If he adds say another $100k at better prices he'll be risking $350k to make maybe $60k. And he wont be paid until the end of the year on most of it.

All this stress and risk based on the state of mind of a rather mercurial personality.

A better gambling strategy would be to go to the racetrack and lay long shots.

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