" I do not think that Josh Shapiro or Gretchen Whitmer are going to go balls to the wall to try to win their states for Harris, because I think that they want to run in 2028 and I think they want to run as the middle America working class Democrat. And they could say ‘hey, Kamala is from California and lost our state.’" This is pretty close to an "engineered hurricanes" take.
Captain Keshel knows his numbers - bookmark this for November 6. Is there a way to bet on which pollster is most accurate? I'd take him over Silver.
Uhh, does nobody else see the oxymoron of a partisan statistician?
" I do not think that Josh Shapiro or Gretchen Whitmer are going to go balls to the wall to try to win their states for Harris, because I think that they want to run in 2028 and I think they want to run as the middle America working class Democrat. And they could say ‘hey, Kamala is from California and lost our state.’" This is pretty close to an "engineered hurricanes" take.
if you want an unbiased opinion you should just go with what the market says. 60% trump.
for example: https://kmeisterflex.substack.com/p/betting-odds-as-election-predictors
25% that Our President wins in a "landslide" yet Trump says he'll get 150 million "supporters"/votes. T'will be more than interesting...