7 Comments
User's avatar
Benjamin Duthoit's avatar

Looking forward for the bot plugged to Polymarket. Showing PNL would be a great argument to convince you're beating the best human forecasters

Michael Woods's avatar

They have adopted the Martin Armstrong model on which his Socrates computer has been forecasting successfully for decades, and without NVidia chips and energy requirements. A smart move, but nothing original.

Polymarket's avatar

Can you point me to the Martin Armstrong model track record on any public forecasting tournaments?

Michael Woods's avatar

No. He is not involved in tournaments. He is an international financial consultant and manager. His website is armstrongeconomis.com. You can find everything you need to know there.

Michael Woods's avatar

Just as an experiment.

Michael Woods's avatar

No. He doesn’t do that. Maybe if you asked him.

Mehmet Avci's avatar

Says something about where the real value is - the prediction layer feeding into decisions, not the betting itself.