🔮 AI OVERLORDS

Inside the wallets of Polymarket's sharpest AI forecasters

Welcome back to another guest post from Stand, a prediction market pro trading terminal with automatic trades, live trade feeds, alerts, and more.

The beauty of transparent prediction markets is not only the forecasts they produce, but also the historical data that lets us see who the real experts are. The more AI dominates the news cycle, the more the AI markets heat up.

Today, we’re on the hunt for traders who are most in tune with the decade’s biggest tech and business story.

From model releases, to benchmarks, to AGI paperclip factories, here are three Polymarket traders to watch on all things AI:

1. @send-tips-plz (aka fffffz)

Accuracy Rate: 58.8%
Active AI Positions: 9

The first account to bookmark on all things AI is send-tips-plz.

Note: this trader recently rebranded to ‘ffffz’. As we discussed in “Copy-Trade Wars,” this is increasingly common misdirection by good traders to throw you off the scent. Lesson here: always get the wallet address (Stand does this for you automatically).

Tips correctly called the “Best AI model” polymarkets in 6 out of 12 months in 2025. Impressive!

His worst loss was betting on xAI in August (note: that month wrecked a lot of AI traders as you’ll see with yyds233 below). But Tips adjusted quickly, closing out that position for a 50% loss instead of letting it bleed out.

Tips has open positions in:

• “No” on ‘Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by Jan 30th?’

• “Yes” on ‘Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?’

• “Yes” on ‘Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?’

• “Yes” on ‘Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?’

• “Yes” on ‘Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?’

2. @3tourists

Accuracy Rate: 85.7%
Active AI Positions: 1

When in Rome do what the Romans do. Polymarket user @tourists is always on vacation except when it comes to the AI markets. He made his bones by correctly calling OpenAI would release GPT-5 before August 10th, and then proceeded to nail the OpenAI browser release date. The coup de grâce is that he correctly predicted Gemini 3.0 would be released before the end of November. The point being, tourists knows when new AIs are getting released.

Currently, he has a ‘Yes’ position on “Will GPT Ads be live by March 31st.” The track record speaks for itself. And that big drop you see in the P&L chart? Not AI related whatsoever. Tourists wandered out of his domain by placing a rather large wager on when the US government shutdown would end. Tourists lost nearly $150k on that adventure.

3. @yyds233

Accuracy Rate: 91.7%
Active AI Positions: 4

Yyds233 is #1 in GPT-5 markets, #2 in Open AI markets, #12 in Tech markets, and #9 in Sam Altman markets (yes, that’s a real category). More impressive is the fact that yyds233 has a 80% or better win rate in all of these categories. His overall profile win rate is 87.1%. His top four wins by P&L are all OpenAI related.

Yyds233 had one misstep when he thought OpenAI would retain their place as the best AI model in August. He netted his worst loss of $13K. The good news is he’s only lost four other markets, two of them non-AI related.

His current AI positions:

• “No” on ‘Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by Jan 30th?’

• “No” on ‘Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by Jan 30th?’

• “No” on ‘Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?’

• “No” on ‘Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?’

In Closing

If any of these traders caught your eye, you can follow their moves on Stand.trade for free. And our list is constantly evolving.

Any other sharp AI traders you are keeping tabs on? Let us know on X or on Discord.

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Disclaimer: Nothing in The Oracle is financial, investment, legal or any other type of professional advice. Odds are time sensitive and subject to change. Anything provided in any newsletter is for informational purposes only and is not meant to be an endorsement of any type of activity or any particular market or product. Terms of Service on polymarket.com prohibit US persons and persons from certain other jurisdictions from using Polymarket to trade, although data and information is viewable globally.