🔮 5 Interesting Things on Polymarket: Thursday, May 15
Trump approval, Tariffs still big, Will Israel strike Yemen tomorrow? Iran deal incoming? Superbowl 2026 odds
1. Trump Approval Forecast Improving
Trump’s Silver Bulletin approval rating sits at 45% today. But where is it going? Odds for Trump’s approval to drop another five points to 40% have been trending downwards in May.
👉Follow Trump Approval Forecast
2. Tariffs Still Big
Despite the recent announcements of tariff reductions, there is still an 🔮84% chance that the average tariff rate will double this year.
👉 Follow Tariff Forecast Market
3. Israeli Strike on Yemen Soon?
Odds for an immediate Israeli retaliation against the Houthis for yesterday’s missile attacks have receded overnight but still sit at 🔮 33% odds of a strike by tomorrow.
👉 Follow Yemen Strikes Polymarket
4. Iran Nuclear Deal Odds Soaring
Odds are now at 🔮 73% and rising of a US-Iran nuclear deal this year. Trump described the recent talks as "very serious negotiations" for "long-term peace."
👉 Follow Iran Deal Polymarket
5. 2026 Superbowl Odds are Live
The current standings:
👉 Follow Superbowl 26 Polymarket
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