How “Semi” made it big by fading folk wisdom, and what he’s betting on now
Am looking forward to continuing our partnership moving forwards!
He's made money betting against obviously dumb trades, but also lost money betting against obvious trades, like the Trump election and related markets. His success seems like Survivorship Bias.
Unlikely given he's also the all-time top trader on Manifold:
https://manifold.markets/leaderboards
О, прекрасная статья. И Semi тоже прекрасен. Я остался доволен.
Am looking forward to continuing our partnership moving forwards!
He's made money betting against obviously dumb trades, but also lost money betting against obvious trades, like the Trump election and related markets. His success seems like Survivorship Bias.
Unlikely given he's also the all-time top trader on Manifold:
https://manifold.markets/leaderboards
О, прекрасная статья. И Semi тоже прекрасен. Я остался доволен.