6 Comments
User's avatar
Dmitry's avatar

He's made money betting against obviously dumb trades, but also lost money betting against obvious trades, like the Trump election and related markets. His success seems like Survivorship Bias.

Expand full comment
doubleunplussed's avatar

Unlikely given he's also the all-time top trader on Manifold:

https://manifold.markets/leaderboards

Expand full comment
E.Berg's avatar

Anyone can call Trump's current political endeavour, a satirical Protocol. His administration have become like an enforcement pushing for an unwanted bureaucracy. This is sadly touché.

Expand full comment
PY's avatar

Sounds like he’s just betting against right wing consensus who are the main users

Expand full comment
The Contrarian Capitalist's avatar

Am looking forward to continuing our partnership moving forwards!

Expand full comment
Совет Анисимов's avatar

О, прекрасная статья. И Semi тоже прекрасен. Я остался доволен.

Expand full comment