He's made money betting against obviously dumb trades, but also lost money betting against obvious trades, like the Trump election and related markets. His success seems like Survivorship Bias.
Anyone can call Trump's current political endeavour, a satirical Protocol. His administration have become like an enforcement pushing for an unwanted bureaucracy. This is sadly touché.
He's made money betting against obviously dumb trades, but also lost money betting against obvious trades, like the Trump election and related markets. His success seems like Survivorship Bias.
The key is how much he bets on each. Even Buffet doesn't win on everything.
Unlikely given he's also the all-time top trader on Manifold:
https://manifold.markets/leaderboards
Anyone can call Trump's current political endeavour, a satirical Protocol. His administration have become like an enforcement pushing for an unwanted bureaucracy. This is sadly touché.
Sounds like he’s just betting against right wing consensus who are the main users
Am looking forward to continuing our partnership moving forwards!
О, прекрасная статья. И Semi тоже прекрасен. Я остался доволен.